P3 Public Runs · RV1,0 / RV1,1

Two runs. Two verdicts.

BICEP2 2014 and the joint BICEP2/Keck+Planck 2015 analysis remain deliberately distinct claim tokens. Later evidence does not rewrite the earlier record.

RV1,0 · OPEN · 19 June 2014 | RV1,1 · PASS · 9 March 2015

The pair is the reference case for temporal indexing and absence of verdict inheritance.

Run RV1,0 · L3→L2 attribution

BICEP2 2014

19 June 2014

OPEN

1 · Claim tested: BICEP2 Collaboration (2014): published lensed-ΛCDM+tensor fit with r≈0.20, including the constitutive dust/foreground caveat.
2 · Run date / Evidence state: 19 June 2014. Evidence/practice is frozen at the PRL publication date; later BICEP2-field-specific Planck 353-GHz dust information and the joint cross-frequency evidence do not enter this run.
3 · Verdict: OPEN
4 · Why: One deduplicated foreground-discrimination deficit remains: A3 Stability fails, A5 Carrier Adequacy remains OPEN, and the L3→L2 attribution bridge is not discharged because the practice-enabled multi-frequency/dust-sensitive closing path was unrealized at tR; Coverage is established, but CertR/ObsR are not.
5 · What this does not mean: OPEN does not mean the measured B-mode excess was false, that dust was already proven, or that the tensor interpretation was retrospectively refuted; it records unresolved attribution at the 19 June 2014 state.
6 · What would trigger a new run?: BICEP2-field-specific 353-GHz dust information, later joint cross-frequency evidence, or a reformulated claim creates a new run; none may rewrite RV1,0.

Run RV1,1 · L3→L2 attribution

BICEP2 / Keck + Planck 2015

9 March 2015

PASS

1 · Claim tested: BICEP2/Keck and Planck Collaborations (2015): strong evidence for dust, no statistically significant tensor evidence, r₀.₀₅ < 0.12 (95% confidence).
2 · Run date / Evidence state: 9 March 2015. The run includes the BICEP2-field-specific Planck XXX dust result and the joint multi-frequency BICEP2/Keck+Planck analysis; Planck XXII is carried forward as earlier dust-frequency context.
3 · Verdict: PASS
4 · Why: The activated requirements and the attribution bridge close under the joint dust-sensitive evidence; DR = {}, and κ₀ closes the run.
5 · What this does not mean: PASS does not mean r = 0, that primordial gravitational waves do not exist, or that every possible foreground structure is exhausted; it applies only to the exact 2015 dust/upper-limit claim.
6 · What would trigger a new run?: Materially new evidence or practice, a changed foreground/model state, or a reformulated claim creates a new run; RV1,1 remains the 9 March 2015 record.

Record boundary

OPEN → PASS is not a reversal of one claim. RV1,0 and RV1,1 are two distinct public claims at two evidence/practice states; the 2015 evidence belongs to the later run.

Reporting Specification v1.0 P3 v2.0 · Version DOI ↗P3 · Concept DOI ↗Primary source ↗Audit & sources →

Report Spec 1.0 · Run RV1,0 · card revision v1.0 · EN